Working Papers

“Trauma at School: The Impacts of Shootings on Students’ Human Capital and Economic Outcomes,” NBER WP Jan 2021, with Marika Cabral, Bokyung Kim, Molly Schnell, and Maya Rossin-Slater
Revise and Resubmit, Review of Economic Studies

“Socio-Economic Decline and Death: The Life-Cycle Impacts of Recessions for Labor Market Entrants,” NEW VERSION April 2023, with Till von Wachter

“The Covid-19 Baby Bump: The Unexpected Increase in U.S. Fertility Rates in Response to the Pandemic,” NBER WP Oct 2022, with Martha Bailey and Janet Currie

“The Lasting Legacy of Seasonal Influenza: In-utero Exposure and Labor Market Outcomes,” Dec 2019 (CEPR Discussion Paper 12653)

“Economic vs. Epidemiological Approaches to Measuring the Human Capital Impacts of Infectious Disease Elimination,” NBER WP July 2022, with Caroline Chuard, Alexander Becker, and Masahiko Haraguchi

“Germs in the Family: The Long-Term Consequences of Intra-Household Endemic Respiratory Disease Spread,” NBER WP Nov 2021, with Meltem Daysal, Hui Ding, and Maya Rossin-Slater
>video (HELP! COVID-19 seminar, April 17 2020)


“The Impact of Car Pollution on Infant and Child Health: Evidence from Emissions Cheating,”
with Diane Alexander
Review of Economic Studies 89(6): 2872-2910, 2022

“The Relationship Between Income and Child Health: New Data for an Old Question,” with Janet Currie,
JAMA (editorial) 328(24):2402–2403, 2022

“Changes in the Relationship Between Income and Life Expectancy Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic, California, 2015-2021” (lead author), with Janet Currie, Till von Wachter, Jonathan Kowalski, Derek Chapman, and Steven H. Woolf
JAMA 328(4):360-366, 2022

“Inequality in Mortality between Black and White Americans by Age, Place, and Cause, and in Comparison to Europe, 1990-2018” (lead author), with Janet Currie, Marlies Bär, James Banks, Paola Bertoli, Aline Bütikofer, Sarah Cattan, Beatrice Zong-Ying Chao, Claudia Costa, Libertad Gonzalez, Veronica Grembi, Kristiina Huttunen, René Karadakic, Lucy Kraftman, Sonya Krutikova, Stefano Lombardi, Peter Redler, Carlos Riumallo-Herl, Ana Rodríguez-González, Kjell Salvanes, Paula Santana, Josselin Thuilliez, Eddy van Doorslaer, Tom Van Ourti, Joachim Winter, Bram Wouterse, and Amelie Wuppermann
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS) 118(40), 2021

“The Opioid Epidemic Was Not Caused by Economic Distress But by Factors that Could be More Rapidly Addressed,” with Janet Currie
Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science
695(1):276-291, 2021

Fiscal Studies 42(1), 9-23, 2021

“Inequality in Mortality: Updated Estimates for the United States, Canada and France,” with Michael Baker, Janet Currie, Boriana Miloucheva, and Josselin Thuilliez
Fiscal Studies
42(1), 25-46, 2021

“Geographic Inequality in Income and Mortality in Germany,” with Peter Redler, Amelie Wuppermann, Joachim Winter, and Janet Currie
Fiscal Studies
42(1), 147-170, 2021

“Local Exposure to School Shootings and Youth Antidepressant Use, with Maya Rossin-Slater, Molly Schnell, Sam Trejo, and Lindsey Uniat
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS) 117(38), 2020.

“Pauvreté, Egalité, Mortalité: Mortality (In)Equality in France and the United States,” with Janet Currie and Josselin Thuilliez
Journal of Population Economics 33(1), 2020

“Poorly Measured Confounders are More Useful on the Left Than on the Right,” with Zhuan Pei and Jörn-Steffen Pischke
Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 37(2), 2019.

“Mortality Inequality in Canada and the U.S.: Divergent or Convergent Trends?” with Michael Baker and Janet Currie
Journal of Labor Economics 37(2), 2019

“Unlucky Cohorts: Estimating the Long-term Effects of Entering the Labor Market in a Recession in Large Cross-sectional Data Sets,”  with Till von Wachter
Journal of Labor Economics 37(1), 2019. >Media coverage

“Wealth Shocks and Health Outcomes: Evidence from Stock Market Fluctuations,”
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 10(4), 2018.

“Inequality in Mortality Decreased Among the Young While Increasing for Older Adults, 1990–2010,” with Janet Currie
Science 352(6286), 2016.  >Media coverage, Note on 1990 Census population counts

“Mortality Inequality: The Good News from a County-Level Approach,” with Janet Currie
Journal of Economic Perspectives
30(2), 2016. >Media coverage

“The Youngest Get the Pill: ADHD Misdiagnosis in Germany, its Regional Correlates and International Comparison,” with Amelie Wuppermann
Labour Economics 43(2), 2016. >Media coverage

“The 9/11 Dust Cloud and Pregnancy Outcomes: A Reconsideration,” with Janet Currie
Journal of Human Resources 51(4), 2016. >Media coverage

“Income and Population Growth,” with Markus Brückner
Economic Journal 124(589), 2015.

“Unmet Aspirations as an Explanation for the Age U-shape in Wellbeing,”
Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 122(1), 2016. >Media coverage

“Short- and Long-term Effects of Unemployment on Fertility,” with Janet Currie
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS) 111(41), 2014. >Media coverage

“Within-mother Analysis of Seasonal Patterns in Health at Birth,” with Janet Currie
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS) 110(30), 2013. >Media coverage

Further Publications in Medical Journals

“Prescribing of Opioid Analgesics and Buprenorphine for Opioid Use Disorder During the COVID-19 Pandemic,” with Janet Currie, Molly Schnell, and Jonathan Zhang
JAMA Network Open, 4(4): e216147, 2021

“Trends in Drug Overdose Mortality in Ohio During the First 7 Months of the COVID-19 Pandemic,” with Janet Currie, Molly Schnell, and Jonathan Zhang
JAMA Network Open, 4(4): e217112, 2021

“Improving surgical outcomes through benchmarking,” with Roxanne D. Staiger, Milo A. Puhan, and Pierre-Alain Clavien
Journal of British Surgery, 2019, 106(1), pp.59-64.

Practitioner Articles and Op-Eds

“Auto Emissions Harm Public Health, EV’s Are The Solution,” World War Zero, with Diane Alexander, Spring 2022

“The Long Shadow of an Unlucky Start,” International Monetary Fund Finance & Development, with Till von Wachter, Winter 2020

“Pregnancy during the pandemic,” Northwestern Institute for Policy Research, Rapid Research Report, May 2020

“Recession Graduates: The Long-lasting Effects of an Unlucky Draw,” Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research Policy Brief, April 2019

“Aux Etats-Unis comme en France, les inégalités de santé et de revenus ne vont pas nécessairement de pair,” Le Monde, with Janet Currie and Josselin Thuilliez, September 2018.

“When Social Policy Saves Lives: Analyzing Trends in Mortality Inequality in the United States and France,” Chicago Booth Pro-Market Blog, with Janet Currie and Josselin Thuilliez, July 2018.

“Child Development: Research and Policy,” American Society of Health Economics, with Valentina Duque, November 2017.

“Ökonomische Erkenntnisse: Vom Mutterleib zum Arbeitsmarkt,” (in German), Neue Zürcher Zeitung (NZZ), September 28 2016.

“Why So Many of Us Experience a Midlife Crisis,” Harvard Business Review, April 2015. Lead story on on April 21. >Media coverage.

Reprinted in Harvard Business Review “Guide to Changing Your Career” (Leadership & Managing People), August 2018

Older Working Papers

Do People Seek to Maximize Their Subjective Well‐Being – And Fail? May 2016 (previous version: IZA DP No. 9450), with Marc Fleurbaey